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Crown Green Handicap

John Marsh

Team: St Mary's (Billinge) BDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/28/2026

Rating

892

Current Handicap

12
Honours
Season:

14

Matches Played

10

Wins

4

Losses

71%

Win Rate

7.4

Avg Win Margin

5.5

Avg Loss Margin

5-2

Home Record

5-2

Away Record

12%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
14 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/19/2022

Only 14 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 155/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 14 matches

+12 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

19 Apr3 May25 May7 Jun21 Jun5 Jul19 Jul-13714

Gives 12 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current12
Win Percentage(40%)
71%
score+0.43→contribution+0.17
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.4
score-0.10→contribution-0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
5.5
score+0.42→contribution+0.06
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
71%
score+0.43→contribution+0.04
Opponent Strength(10%)
877
score+0.30→contribution+0.03
Weighted Score+0.282
Sample Size Confidence
12%(14/41 matches)
Rating1085 → shrunk 1010→ adjusted 893
Handicap
12

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

10W4L14 matches·71.4% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
St Mary's (Billinge) B2022Division 31410471.4%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/19/2022John PyeH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
7/12/2022Paul DolanA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
7/5/2022Les DennettH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
6/28/2022G McClaireA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
6/21/2022Ken WoodsH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
6/14/2022Roy AshcroftH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
6/7/2022W PenningtonA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
5/31/2022Geoff GaskellH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
5/25/2022Kevin HighcockA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
5/10/2022Alan HalsallA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
5/3/2022Colin StockleyH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
4/26/2022John PenningtonA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
4/19/2022Charlie McFarlaneH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
4/12/2022Anthony SinerA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WLWWW
Last 1080% win rate— steady
WLWWWWWLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
John Pye101100%7/19/2022
Paul Dolan0110%7/12/2022
Les Dennett101100%7/5/2022
G McClaire101100%6/28/2022
Ken Woods101100%6/21/2022
Roy Ashcroft101100%6/14/2022
W Pennington101100%6/7/2022
Geoff Gaskell0110%5/31/2022
Kevin Highcock101100%5/25/2022
Alan Halsall101100%5/10/2022
Biggest Win
G McClaire (+13)6/28/2022
Heaviest Defeat
Geoff Gaskell (-8)5/31/2022
Best Season
202271% · 14 matches
Worst Season
202271% · 14 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
57% → 86%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
87714 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
10-377% win rate
Division 371.4%
10W·4L·14 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Jul 19, 2022

Seasons Active

1 (3 mo span)

Matches / Season

14.0 (14 total)

Seasons

2022